Fight Against Covid-19

Covid spread graph, in these three states, Meghalaya, Kerala and Mizoram, moving in reverse direction of what was predicted by IIT Model.

The surge in covid cases, in kerala, is a matter of concern. In 7 districts of kerala, the test positivity rate has increased by 50%. The test positivity rate in whole India is somewhere near 2.5, this number in kerala is about 12.3.

The R Number in India is 0.9, but in kerala it is much higher 1.2.
The R Number 0.9 indicates, every 1 lakh infected person, can spread the infection, to create 90000 new cases.
When the R number 1.2 indicates, every 1 lakh infected person, can spread the infection further to 1lakh 20 thousand person.

Kerala Model is proving to be a bit bitter for India!

The R-Number is growing steadily, it indicates, a possible surge in case count, in near future!

So far, the Kerala government has failed, to curb the R- number!

It is evident that, the graph is picking up pace.

Please hear it out. It will take only 20 mins. How nicely he explained the various stages of covid infection. It will help you, to red flag the critical juncture of the infection.

Managing COVID 19 Through Timelines I Dr. Mathew Varghese I Wish I had seen this before. One of my family member send this video on my WhatsApp, as soon as I finished watching this extremely important and informative video, I decided that I will ...

Daily new covid infection in India, has come down to 3lakh 62 thousand, that is the lowest in the last 5 days.
In fact, since April 28 this graph never stooped such a low except on May 3.
Don't put your guard off. Disciplined attitude from our side can bring the life in normalcy.

https://weather.com/en-IN/india/coronavirus/news/2021-04-29-covaxin-found-effective-against-indian-double-mutant-variant

Covaxin Effective Against Indian Double Mutant Variant: ICMR Study | The Weather Channel - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com While showing efficacy against the double mutant variant, the vaccine was also found to be inhibiting severe forms of the disease post-vaccination. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

Dr. Manindra Agrawal, professor of IIT Kanpur in the department of Computer Science & Engineering, has explained a few points on second wave of Covid and it's subsequent wave.

>The daily new case load will touch it's peak in the first week of May, which may be as high as 4lakh.

> The total case load, which currently is 29 lakh, will touch 40 lakhs mark, and then the second wave will start to decline rapidly, from the begining of June.

> The only way to alleviate the third or recurring wave of the pandemic is to be inoculated & don't let your guard off. We have to maintain all covid protocol even after being vaccinated or the second wave get subsided.

>Mass vaccination program and a large part of the population getting exposed to the virus (70% of population) will turn this pandemic into endemic. Infection will remain here, but that will be limited in some pocket of the country.

It may take another year to get back the Planet of pre covid era. Certainly this virus is going to stay here with us, but will lose it's virulence.

Second Coronavirus Wave Could Stabilise in India by end of 2021, Says AIIMS Director Randeep Guleria Coronavirus in India: AIIMS Director Dr Randeep Guleria said when the COVID cases really came down in January and February and the vaccine roll-out also started, many people started feeling that the pandemic is over but the virus had not really gone away and it was evolving and mutating.

Getting infected in spite of receiving vaccine doesn't prove that the vaccine is of no use. It's called breakthrough infection.

->No vaccine with 100% effectiveness has ever been made in the history of medical science.

->some of the virus strains are able to invade the defence mechanism built through vaccination.

-> Your body takes some 2 weeks to develop defence mechanism after receiving vaccine dose. So in this period, you, the one who has received vaccine, is at equal risc of getting infected, as the one who has not received the vaccine.

The study by ICMR shows it's a mere 0.04% of population who got infected in spite of receiving second dose of vaccine!
Please receive your vaccine, with no excuse. Only that can save our world.

Explained: Infections after Covid-19 vaccination 'Breakthrough infections' are expected in a small number of people after vaccination. No vaccine is 100% effective. Some may have been infected before the jab; also, some strains may evade vaccine protection.

প্রথম ঢেউ এর থেকে দ্বিতীয় ঢেউ প্রায় দ্বিগুণ দ্রুততায় ছড়াচ্ছে। এর মুখ্য কারণ হিসাবে বিশেষজ্ঞরা যা বলছে-
প্রথমত, ভারতে মিউটেট হওয়া করোনার বিশেষ স্ট্রেন।মুম্বাই এর মোট কেস লোডের প্রায় ২০% এই স্ট্রেনের কারণে। এর বিস্তার আরও বাড়লে পরিস্থিতি আরও ভয়াবহ হবে।

দ্বিতীয়ত, ইতিমধ্যে সংক্রমিত ব্যাক্তির একটা বড় অংশের (প্রায় ২০%-৩০%) শরীরে সৃষ্ট এন্টিবডি নষ্ট হয়ে গেছে,ফলে পুনঃসংক্রমিত হচ্ছে তারা।

তৃতীয়ত, এরকম ভয়াবহ পরিস্থিতিতেও মানুষের মধ্যে ভ্যাক্সিন নেওয়ার প্রবণতা কম।

সবচেয়ে বড় বিষয় মানুষ প্রি-কভিড দিনগুলোর মত আচরণ শুরু করেছে। মুখে মাস্ক নেই,পকেটে স্যানিটাইজার নেই, অপ্রয়োজনে ঘুরে বেড়াচ্ছে, সেখান থেকে ছড়িয়ে দিচ্ছে আর পাঁচটা মানুষের মধ্যে।

**বিশেষজ্ঞদের মতে এপ্রিল এ দ্বিতীয় ঢেউ সর্বোচ্চ পর্যায়ে পৌঁছাবে, যা আবার মে থেকে ধীরে ধীরে কমবে**
আপনারা ধৈর্য্য ধরুন, অপ্রয়োজনে মেলা,খেলা,জলসা,র‍্যালিতে গিয়ে বাহক হয়ে বাকিদের অসুস্থ করে তুলবেন না প্লিজ। অতীতটা মনে করুন আর সাবধান হন সবাই। বিশেষজ্ঞরা যখন কেসলোড কমছিল,তখনই বার্তা দিয়েছিল-"এটা ঝড়ের আগের নিশতব্ধতা মাত্র"। তাই নিজেদের বিশেষজ্ঞ না ভেবে চোখ বন্ধ করে ওঁদের বাক্যকে বেদবাক্য করে চলুন,হয়ত অনেকে রক্ষা পাব।

Why is Covid-19 spreading rapidly in India? Experts identify 4 reasons India recorded 161,736 fresh Covid-19 cases in the last 24 hours, the Union health ministry data showed on Tuesday.

The second wave is going to be more fatal....

Coronavirus India Live Updates: 24,882 fresh infections, highest daily rise since December 20, says health ministry Coronavirus India Live News Updates: There are 2,02,022 active cases in the country while as many as 1,09,73,260 people have recovered from the disease.